Many times success in day trading will be a time question. This is why is so important to identify Breakouts
Success in trading depends on one major thing; how you identify opportunities and maximize on them. This is a secret all successful traders learnt when started trading full-time.
If you are able to identify when an opportunity arises, then chances are high that you will make a lot of money.
Unfortunately, identifying these opportunities is one of the toughest thing to do.
Furthermore, if we all did that, then we would all be rich. Right?
Only a few people have succeeded in identifying the opportunities and maximizing on them. The idea is that you want to identify a point in time when the price of an asset breaks-out.
For instance, if the price of crude oil is ranging between $40 and $42 a barrel, you want to identify a point where it breaks out and goes far up or down.
In this article, We will highlight some key ways to identify and trade breakouts.
How to Identify Breakouts
#1 – Trendlines
This is one of the most commonly used methods of identifying and trading breakouts. The idea is to look at the chart, identify the highest and lowest points and then plot a line. The line will of course not touch all the points you identified but you should ensure that it touches a few of these points.
After this, you will look at the chart and make a decision on whether a breakout will be imminent or not. Keep in mind, the trendline can either move up or down.
If you spot an opportunity where the breakout is imminent, then you should make a buy or sell decision.
#2 – Channels
The second strategy you can use to spot and trade breakouts is using channels. The idea behind channels is similar to what trendlines do.
The only difference between the two is that in a channel, you draw the trendlines in the two sides. In this strategy, you want to connect the highest points and the lowest points in the opposite direction.
By doing this, you will come up with a channel and therefore you can easily spot the breakout point.
#3 – Triangles
The third strategy in trading breakouts is the use of triangles in analysis. Again, the idea involves drawing of lines as in the above method albeit with the aim of producing a triangle.
You simply want to draw two lines, touching the tops and the bottoms to form a triangle. When the triangle is formed, chances are that there will be a breakout there.
There are three types of triangles you can look at. They include:
- symmetrical triangles
Ascending triangles are created when there is a resistance level and the market price continues to make higher lows. It is an indicator that the buyers (bulls) are making momentums over the bears.
The descending triangles are formed when there is a support level and the market price continues to make highs.
Finally, the symmetrical triangles are formed when the bulls and bears create higher lows and lower highs, forming an apex in the middle.
→ 5 Tips to Make Money in Bear Market
#4 – Bullish and bearish flags/pennants
Another way of trading breakouts is using the bullish and bearish flags and pennants, which we have covered in detail before. Pennants and flags happen after the price of an asset experiences a major spike.
The pennant is usually shaped like a triangle while a flag is shaped as a parallel channel. The two usually happens as some traders start exiting the trade while others come in. In most cases, a bullish pennant usually breaks out higher while a bearish flag breaks out lower.
Benefits of trading breakouts
There are several important benefits of trading breakouts in forex, commodities, and other financial assets. They include:
- Catch big moves – Trading breakouts is an excellent strategy if you want to catch big moves.
- Easy strategy to use – The breakout strategy is a relatively easy to use so long as you have a well-defined strategy.
- Can be used in all periods – The breakout strategy can be used across all periods, including minutes, hours, daily, and weekly.
What about false breakouts?
While the breakout strategy is excellent, its biggest risk is known as a false breakout. It is usually a period where the price seems to be breaking out in one side and then suddenly reverses.
For example, in a bullish pennant pattern, it can appear as if the price is breaking-out higher and then it suddenly reverses.
To be fair, spotting false breakouts can be relatively tough. Still, there are several possible strategies you can use. The most ideal one is using pending orders, which are executed at a later period.
If you expect a bullish breakout, you can place a buy stop at an important level above the consolidation zone. Similarly, if you believe that the price will breakout lower, you can place a sell stop.
In the two examples, if you are correct, you will make money. However, if you are incorrect, nothing will happen. You can also use sell and buy limit orders to trade breakouts.
When using this strategy to identify the breakouts, it is important to consider a few details.
- One, you need to consider the timeframe that you will be using. In this, you should test various timeframes to ensure that you are in the right direction.
- The next thing you need to consider is that there will always be fakeouts. Fakout is a name used to mean a false breakout, and you must learn how to identify these!
- Third, you should test different indicators which you will use to test the performance of the strategy.
- Lastly, you should identify the best currency pair, commodity, or stock to implement this strategy.